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The Economics of Uncertainty

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The Economics of Uncertainty

By: Connel Fullenkamp, The Great Courses
Narrated by: Connel Fullenkamp
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About this listen

Economies are deeply complex systems. The marketplace involves many economic actors behaving in rational and irrational ways, sustaining a dizzying array of interconnected activity. Because of the number of participants involved, the unpredictability of their actions, and the sheer variety of possible actions, some degree of economic uncertainty is inevitable.

In one of the most dramatic displays of economic uncertainty in our times, a wave of toxic loans almost brought down the American financial system in 2008-2009, and with it jobs and savings. Few experts forecast this catastrophe, which stands as a lesson in the power of economic forces to defy our predictions. This event may have been exceptional, but every day we are all at the mercy of economic uncertainty in matters such as the stock market, insurance, and career and retirement planning.

Uncertainty also plagues us in smaller ways. For example, everyone is familiar with rising prices, but the Internet now makes it possible for online shoppers to be charged more based on their buying history, adding a new level of unpredictability to pricing. And anytime you hire someone for a service - from roofing to dentistry - you face the principal-agent problem, in which the person hired may take unethical advantage of your lack of expertise.

Indeed, these large and small risks are so pervasive that it is all too easy to conclude that nothing can be done. But economic uncertainty is like the weather: You can't stop storms from happening, but understanding how and why they happen allows you to be prepared. In the same way, economic uncertainty is beyond our control, but we're in a much better position to respond if we know what's happening and why.

In 24 practical and empowering half-hour lectures, The Economics of Uncertainty takes the mystery and dread out of uncertainty, giving you the tools to deal with risk in every phase of your life.

PLEASE NOTE: When you purchase this title, the accompanying reference material will be available in your Library section along with the audio.

©2015 The Great Courses (P)2015 The Teaching Company, LLC
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What listeners say about The Economics of Uncertainty

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interesting but very basic

well written and presented but very basic overview for the absolute beginner, good for a first introduction

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    5 out of 5 stars

Introductory but well structured and discussed

I am actually a bio PhD student modelling the evolution of intelligence, with information and uncertainty as drivers. For these rather niche requirements the first half of the lectures provided a very useful overview of the ways in which uncertainty arises and can be managed, which I translated into what animals might be able to do with regards to maximising fitness where it made sense.

As it progresses it moves a little away from the topic of uncertainty and into more general economics unfortunately. Would have preferred a deeper dive into the analytics of uncertainty, but I do have a nice book for that already.

Overall I enjoyed the course! only took me today thanks to 2x if not 3x speed and the narrators clear speech allowing for this.

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title is misleading,

I have struggled to finish it. Narration was okay. I would have changed the title to the basics of uncertainty. It wasn't much about complex economics, not to talk about the economical cycles...

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