Many believe that you can judge the quality of a decision by the success of the outcome…………’

But can you really?’

What if the person making the decision was reckless or had a high propensity for risk-taking, or was a gambler?

And what if the reason there was a successful outcome was mere luck?

What we need to think about is the role the decision or decisions that were made played in the outcome.

What do we know about the biases that may have come into play when a particular decision is being made?

In this episode, we also look at outcome, champion, and experience biases because they can all have a major impact on decision-making.

If you’d like to know more, read ‘You’re about to make a terrible mistake’ by Olivier Sibony.

This is a great journey into understanding how cognitive biases can distort our decision-making processes.

https://www.amazon.com/Youre-About-Make-Terrible-Mistake/dp/0316494984 

If you really want to improve your own decision-making, the London School of Economics (LSE) run a number of programmes and courses on the science behind decision-making under the leadership of Dr. Barbara Fasilo 

Think of this episode as the end of the first season, and the beginning of the second season.
We took a winding journey through critical thinking for the first 10 episodes, and the last episode's interview with Carl Davidson seemed a fitting place to wrap that theme up. 
That's why the first part of this episode provides a summary and some clear steps to use when adopting critical thinking into our lives.

However, people seem to enjoy what I've been doing and want more.
 It's also true that critical thinking is but one part of a much longer journey to try and 'free the world of dumb in all its many forms and manifestations'.

There is a model that says 'first we think, then we decide, and then we do'.
We're going to follow that path and part of the reason for this episode is to introduce the theme for the next season of The Free-Dumb Sessions. Decision-making.

I've always been clear that the Free-dumb Sessions' role is to provoke debate, awaken critical thinking, and help people ' break Free of Dumb’, in all its many forms, but what the hell is critical thinking anyway? 

How do we sort out the facts from the noise, the meaning from rumor, and the outright lies from the gossip?

At long last, this episode is a conversation with my guest and friend Carl Davidson.

Carl has spent most of his life trying to understand human behavior. His background is in psychology and sociology but he also is very fond of the anthropological approach to understanding others. An academic, a researcher, a policymaker, and - most recently - in the insights industry,  he is founder and director at Research First Ltd as well as an adjunct fellow at the University of Canterbury. Carl has written some nine books about research and thinking..

I’ve known Carl for a while, but we really got to know each other during lockdown (while coming together for virtual whiskey tastings - the whiskey was real, but we were socially distancing on Zoom -  while tasting)

At last, we have managed to synchronise our schedules to do this episode.

Good conversations deserve some time, so this is another longer episode than normal. 

In it, we talk about what critical thinking is, why it is so important to learn, and some tips and tricks to use when trying to sort out the facts from the noise. 

Carl mentioned some of his favorite books, websites, blogs, and music tracks.

What follows is a list of some of his faves:

BOOKS

• Winnie the Pooh by  AE Milne
• The Thought Gang By Tibor Fisher
• Friends by Robin Dunbar
• The Stupidity Paradox: The Power and Pitfalls of Functional Stupidity at Work by Mats Alvesson

INTRODUCTORY BOOKS ABOUT THINKING

• Thinking Fast and Slow by  Daniel Kahneman
• The Art of Thinking Clearly by Rolf Dobelli

WEBSITES

Arts and Letters Daily

https://aldaily.com/ 

PODCAST

The hidden brain

https://hiddenbrain.org/ 

BLOG

Bob Hoffman’s The Ad Contrarian

http://adcontrarian.blogspot.com/ 

MUSIC TRACK

The Rat by The Walkmen

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mphTplbiivM

You can contact Carl at:

www.researchfirst.co.nz or,

https://www.linkedin.com/in/carldavidsonnz/ 

Carl Davidson - Forever curious

Most of us pride ourselves on our honesty.

Our businesses love to talk about honesty and integrity

It is important to us. But are we really that honest?  

Do we really tell ‘the truth’, and what does that even mean?

Sadly, truth is subjective and what is true for one, may be different for another. 

And if that is the case, does the truth matter, and are we all liars?

If you want to find out more about our lack of rationality and decision-making, read 

Do You Really Know Why You Do The Things You Do? 

If you are inspired to read more about the science behind my bold assertion that truth is subjective, then read and watch,

Here's Why The Truth Really Is Subjective, According to Science

It’s even more depressing because it speaks about ‘cognitive ease’, and how if something is repeated often enough, it becomes ‘the truth’ as people become more familiar with it. So this proves that there is a very thin line between politics and propaganda, and we have a glimpse into why advertising works.

This episode is a discussion with my guest and friend Nick Leach.

There’s so much talk about ‘Purpose’, but what is it exactly? Is it just a new-age way of window dressing, or does it have the power to transform organisations?

Nick is a passionate leader, who has been in leadership roles for the past 15 years, across, Asia and ANZ.  He wrote the book, ‘Leading On Purpose - a guide to creating a purpose-driven culture’  I first got to know Nick about 10 years ago in Wellington, New Zealand, when he was leading a team doing some unique work to help people living with autoimmune diseases. 

In a much longer episode than normal, we’ll talk about why it is so important to embrace the idea of organisational purpose, purposeful teams, and leading with purpose.

If you want to get Nick’s book,  ‘Leading On Purpose - a guide to creating a purpose-driven culture’ you can purchase it through Amazon (physical book)

https://www.amazon.com/Leading-Purpose-creating-purpose-culture/dp/1781334951/ref=sr_1_1?dchild=1&keywords=%E2%80%98Leading+On+Purpose+-+a+guide+to+creating+a+purpose+driven+culture%E2%80%99&qid=1620434636&sr=8-1

Or, if you prefer to listen, you can get it here:

https://www.audible.com.au/pd/Leading-on-Purpose-Audiobook/1781335850?qid=1620434725&sr=1-1&ref=a_search_c3_lProduct_1_1&pf_rd_p=771c6463-05d7-4981-9b47-920dc34a70f1&pf_rd_r=BKKX44N95B4QMKQDYGF9

If you want to contact Nick directly, his website is:
https://www.on-purpose.solutions/

While we seem to agree that words matter, are people really getting taken in by the media?
Are we really that dumb?
The power of 'framing'. Can the mere substitution of a single verb make a noticeable difference in meaning?
What implications does this have for police and legal cases?
What has anything covered so far in the Free-dumb Sessions got to do with critical thinking?

You can read  more about Loftus and Palmer’s Reconstruction of Automobile Destruction (1974)  study, the impact of verb choices, and some of the other repercussions relating to participant ‘recall’ (confabulation) here https://psycnet.apa.org/record/1975-04498-001 

"Sticks and stones may break my bones, but words will never break me"

Really?
A discussion about young people and resilience,
 the power of words - for good and bad,
what this all means in an 'always-on' social media world,
and the power the media has -  not only constructing narratives to suit their agendas to influence the public, but also the judicial and political systems. 

If you want to read Huff and Kertzner’s paper entitled 'How the media defines terrorism', check out the abstract here

https://www.jstor.org/stable/26598750?mag=how-the-media-can-define-terrorism&seq=1

Let’s discuss ‘Charisma’.

We are all drawn to people with ‘natural charisma’, but what is it exactly?
The Oxford English Dictionary tells us that charisma is a ‘compelling attractiveness or charm that can inspire devotion in others’.

Is it a natural personality trait or can it be ‘taught’ like a set of skills or techniques?
 And even if it can -  should it be?
Does charisma have a dark side?

How naturally charismatic are you? Take this easy self-evaluation test here: https://www.skillsyouneed.com/ips/charisma.html

Got a tricky communications project and need the services of a seriously good, strategic creative copywriter?If so you should definitely contact Lizzie Davidson. She is not only good but funny as well!
You can reach out to Lizzie through her LinkedIn account https://www.linkedin.com/in/lizzie-davidson-copywriter/